Dealing with it, predicting it etc.
I’ve been arguing that my research is in some way relevant to this. Specifically, I’ve been arguing of late that a model of technology is important to consider climate change adaptation strategies - e.g. to cost them, to make arguments about it in policy circles.
When I last visited my friend, economist Kathryn Smith she argued that this is bollocks, since (don’t quote her on this; this is my from-memory understanding) any conceivable gains in technological efficiency are dwarfed both in magnitude and in variance, by the costs of climate change mitigation — essentially, she posits, a couple of orders of magnitudes of improvements in industrial process make at most a few percent difference to the projected bottom line costs of climate change. In any case, the project costs of runaway climate change are large and also highly uncertain. A few percentage points don’t change that you are fucked, just marginally change your expected degree of fuckedness.
Hm. I’d like a reference for that.
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