# Probability

Usefulness: 🔧
Novelty: 💡
Uncertainty: 🤪 🤪 🤪
Incompleteness: 🚧 🚧 🚧

A placeholder where I mention some things I occasionally refer people to or have been referred to, but forget the reference for.

• Terry Tao, and his Neat Probability Hacks for Dummies

• Dominic Yeo

• [George Lowther]((http://almostsure.wordpress.com)

I wonder if I shoud split off the exchangeability related references? I recently had my interest in that stuff piqued by Said Syed. However, I don’t think it’s likely I’ll be finding time for a deep understanding any time soon.

# Refs

Aldous, David J. 1985. “Exchangeability and Related Topics.” In École d’Été de Probabilités de Saint-Flour XIII — 1983, edited by David J. Aldous, Illdar A. Ibragimov, Jean Jacod, and P. L. Hennequin, 1–198. Lecture Notes in Mathematics. Springer Berlin Heidelberg.

———. 1981. “Representations for Partially Exchangeable Arrays of Random Variables.” Journal of Multivariate Analysis 11 (4): 581–98. https://doi.org/10.1016/0047-259X(81)90099-3.

Applebaum, David. 2009. Lévy Processes and Stochastic Calculus. 2nd ed. Cambridge Studies in Advanced Mathematics 116. Cambridge ; New York: Cambridge University Press.

Baudoin, Fabrice. 2014. Diffusion Processes and Stochastic Calculus. EMS Textbooks in Mathematics. Zurich, Switzerland: European Mathematical Society.

Burgess, Nicholas. 2014. “Martingale Measures & Change of Measure Explained.” SSRN Scholarly Paper ID 2961006. Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network. https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2961006.

Campbell, Trevor, Saifuddin Syed, Chiao-Yu Yang, Michael I. Jordan, and Tamara Broderick. 2019. “Local Exchangeability,” June. http://arxiv.org/abs/1906.09507.

Diaconis, P., and D. Freedman. 1980. “De Finetti’s Theorem for Markov Chains.” The Annals of Probability 8 (1): 115–30. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176994828.

Peng, Shige. 2007. “G-Expectation, G-Brownian Motion and Related Stochastic Calculus of Itô Type.” In Stochastic Analysis and Applications, edited by Fred Espen Benth, Giulia Di Nunno, Tom Lindstrøm, Bernt Øksendal, and Tusheng Zhang, 541–67. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-70847-6_25.